Quick Read
- Bitcoin fell to $112,000 in a sharp September selloff.
- Over $1.6 billion in long positions were liquidated, the largest wipeout of 2025.
- Technical breakdown and high leverage fueled the drop.
- Rumors of a US strategic Bitcoin reserve added to market uncertainty.
- Onchain analysis suggests the bull cycle may not be over yet.
Bitcoin’s September Shock: How the Crash Unfolded
It was the kind of week that makes even the most seasoned crypto veterans sit up straight. After weeks of sideways action, Bitcoin jolted the markets with a dramatic fall to $112,000, erasing billions in value and sending shockwaves through the global financial landscape. As the dust settled, traders and analysts were left picking through the debris, searching for clues: Is this the end of the bull market, or just a painful but necessary shakeout before the next leg up?
According to Cointelegraph and CCN, the drama began as Bitcoin failed to break above the stubborn $117,000–$118,000 resistance. Instead of surging to new highs, the world’s largest cryptocurrency broke down from an ascending parallel channel—a technical pattern that had been guiding price action since the start of September. The result? A swift, brutal move that saw BTC dip below the critical $112,000 support area before staging a modest recovery.
But the story goes deeper than a simple price drop. The September selloff triggered the largest single liquidation event of the year, wiping out more than $1.6 billion in long positions as over-leveraged traders were forced to exit en masse. CoinGlass data reported a staggering $1.7 billion in liquidations within 24 hours, with the vast majority coming from bullish bets that Bitcoin would continue its climb. Open interest in derivatives markets was slashed by $2 billion, underscoring the scale of the capitulation.
What Caused the Crash? Technicals, Leverage, and Macro Fears
Peeling back the layers, several factors converged to fuel this week’s volatility. Technically, Bitcoin’s failure at $117,000–$118,000 set the stage for a correction. The daily chart, per CCN’s analysis, showed that BTC had traded inside a corrective ascending channel since early September. When that channel broke, the floodgates opened.
Momentum indicators flashed warning signs: the Relative Strength Index (RSI) dropped below the crucial 50 mark, while the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) made a bearish cross. These signals, combined with the breakdown, emboldened bears and left bulls scrambling to defend key support zones.
Leverage was another critical piece of the puzzle. As prices slipped, heavily margined traders found themselves on the wrong side of the market, triggering a cascade of liquidations. Glassnode highlighted that the $113,000–$114,000 zone was a particular pain point, with clustered liquidation levels creating a domino effect as stops were hit and positions unwound.
Yet, the technicals tell only part of the story. Macro uncertainty loomed large. The US Federal Reserve’s recent rate cut had failed to spark a sustained rally in risk assets. Meanwhile, markets braced for more clues from Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who was set to speak at a major economic forum and provide fresh guidance on the central bank’s inflation outlook. Mixed signals from the Fed, combined with ongoing concerns about inflation and labor market softness, left traders jittery and quick to pull the trigger.
Political Rumors and Market Sentiment: The Strategic Bitcoin Reserve
Adding fuel to the fire were swirling rumors of a potentially game-changing announcement from the US political establishment. Social media buzzed with talk that lawmakers might finally move to create a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve—a policy idea that has floated around Washington but has yet to materialize. Even as the Trump administration had previously teased the idea, no concrete steps had been taken.
For many, the prospect of the US government publicly embracing Bitcoin as a strategic asset could mark a watershed moment, sending prices surging. Alex Thorn of Galaxy Digital argued that markets are still underestimating the likelihood of such a move. But with nothing confirmed and traders wary of buying the rumor, the uncertainty only heightened volatility. As Cointelegraph reports, US officials recently met with crypto industry leaders, keeping the topic on the table and the rumor mill spinning.
Bull or Bear? The Path Forward for Bitcoin Prices
The question on everyone’s mind: where does Bitcoin go from here? The technical picture is split. Some analysts, including those cited by CCN, see the potential for further downside—perhaps even a dip toward the psychologically critical $100,000 level if the correction deepens. Their primary bearish scenario suggests that Bitcoin is now in the final leg (wave C) of an A-B-C correction, with $100,600 as a plausible target if support fails.
Yet, hope is not lost. A bullish alternative remains in play, contingent on Bitcoin holding the $112,650 horizontal and Fibonacci support. If this floor holds, it could mark the end of the correction and set the stage for a rebound. The longer BTC stays below $114,000, however, the less likely this scenario becomes. The next few days—and the market’s reaction to macro and political developments—will be pivotal.
Zooming out, onchain analytics from CryptoQuant suggest that the market is in a “pre-euphoria” stage, echoing patterns seen ahead of past bull market peaks. Their analysis of the MVRV (market value to realized value) metric shows that long-term holders are increasingly profitable, a sign that the current cycle still has room to run. “We have been progressing through a healthy ‘Pre-Euphoria’ stage since the 2022 bottom, building a strong foundation for a major move,” the report states. Importantly, the MVRV difference has not yet reached the extreme levels seen at previous tops, indicating that significant upside potential remains.
Long Liquidations: A Cautionary Tale for Traders
This week’s events offered a stark reminder of the risks inherent in highly leveraged crypto trading. The brutal liquidation wave was the largest of 2025 so far, a testament to how quickly sentiment can turn and how unforgiving the market can be. As trader Daan Crypto Trades noted, “A big wipe out across the board. Now we wait and look for strength within the chaos.”
For traders, the lesson is clear: high leverage amplifies both gains and losses, and when the market turns, it can do so with little warning. With so many eyes on Bitcoin’s every move, volatility is likely to remain elevated as September winds down.
In summary, Bitcoin’s plunge to $112,000 is a vivid illustration of the market’s fragility in the face of technical breakdowns, excessive leverage, and macro uncertainty. While signals of a longer-term bull cycle remain, the road ahead is fraught with volatility and risk. For now, the market stands at a crossroads, watching for the next catalyst—be it from central bankers, lawmakers, or the charts themselves—to determine whether this is a mere pause or the start of something deeper.

