Quick Read
- Ecuador and Argentina meet in the final 2026 World Cup qualifier.
- Both teams have secured qualification but aim to finish strong.
- Lionel Messi will not feature due to injury recovery.
- Ecuador boasts the best defensive record with only 5 goals conceded.
- Argentina leads the table with 38 points and plans squad rotation.
On September 10, 2025, Ecuador and Argentina will meet in the final game of the 2026 FIFA World Cup CONMEBOL qualifiers at the Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha in Guayaquil. While both teams have already secured their spots in the tournament, this match remains significant, showcasing the defensive strength of Ecuador and Argentina’s squad depth in Lionel Messi’s absence.
Ecuador: A Defensive Powerhouse in South America
Ecuador, under head coach Sebastián Beccacece, has been one of the standout teams in this qualifying campaign. Despite facing a three-point deduction earlier in the qualifiers, La Tricolor sits comfortably in fourth place, with only two losses in 17 matches. Impressively, Ecuador has conceded just five goals throughout the campaign, the fewest of any team in South America, and only one goal in their last 10 games.
The defensive backbone of the team includes Arsenal’s Piero Hincapié, PSG’s Willian Pacho, AC Milan’s Pervis Estupiñán, and Club Brugge’s Joel Ordóñez. These players, along with Chelsea’s Moisés Caicedo shielding the midfield, have established Ecuador as one of the toughest teams to break down. Veteran striker Enner Valencia leads the attacking line, although Ecuador’s biggest challenge remains their lack of goals, with only 13 scored in 17 matches.
Beccacece emphasized the team’s unity and defensive stability, stating, “There’s a very nice harmony within the group, and we’re building a close-knit family. We have to value what we’ve achieved and the connection that we’ve been able to build with the fans.” The Football Faithful reports that Ecuador’s last four qualifiers ended in 0-0 draws, highlighting their defensive solidity but also their struggle to convert chances.
Argentina: Rotating Without Messi
Argentina, the reigning World Cup champions, has dominated the South American qualifiers, sitting at the top of the table with 38 points—10 points clear of second-place Brazil. Under coach Lionel Scaloni, La Albiceleste has won 12 of their 17 matches, conceding only 15 goals and securing 11 clean sheets. Their most recent match was a 3-0 victory over Venezuela, where Lionel Messi scored twice in what is expected to be his final World Cup qualifier on Argentine soil.
However, Messi will not travel to Ecuador for this game, as he continues his recovery from a hamstring injury. Speaking after the Venezuela match, Messi stated, “I spoke with Scaloni, and he decided that I should rest, not travel to Ecuador because I’m recovering from an injury. We prefer to avoid the trip and prepare for what’s coming up well-rested.” With Messi absent, Scaloni is expected to rotate the squad, giving opportunities to players like Lautaro Martínez, Nicolás González, Alexis Mac Allister, and Giovanni Lo Celso.
Inter Milan’s Lautaro Martínez, who came off the bench to score against Venezuela, is expected to start. Martínez has been a key player for Argentina, and his ability to break down Ecuador’s defense could be decisive. Nicolás Otamendi will captain the side in Messi’s absence, and Leonardo Balerdi is set to replace the suspended Cristian Romero in defense.
What to Expect from the Match
Despite both teams having already qualified for the World Cup, this match holds strategic importance. For Ecuador, a win could potentially move them up to second place in the standings, depending on other results. Argentina, on the other hand, will look to maintain their momentum and give fringe players a chance to prove themselves.
The game is expected to be a low-scoring affair, given Ecuador’s defensive record and Argentina’s ability to control possession. According to Bet365, Ecuador has gone four games without scoring, while Argentina has kept four clean sheets in their last six matches. The last two competitive meetings between these teams have yielded a total of six bookings, suggesting a disciplined but intense encounter.
Predicted lineups indicate Ecuador will stick to their tried-and-tested defensive setup, with Valencia leading the attack. Argentina is likely to field a 4-3-3 formation, with Emiliano Martínez in goal and a mix of experience and youth in the outfield positions.
The Bigger Picture: Preparation for 2026
As both teams prepare for the World Cup next summer, this match serves as an opportunity to fine-tune strategies and test new combinations. For Ecuador, maintaining their defensive stability while finding ways to score will be crucial. For Argentina, the focus will be on integrating younger players and ensuring squad depth for their title defense.
While the absence of Lionel Messi might take away some of the glamour, it also allows Argentina to experiment and adapt without their talisman. Ecuador, meanwhile, will aim to capitalize on their home advantage and finish the qualifiers on a high note.
In summary, Ecuador vs. Argentina promises to be a fascinating clash between two teams with contrasting strengths. Ecuador’s defensive resilience will be tested against Argentina’s attacking depth, making this a must-watch encounter for football fans.

