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Liverpool vs. Manchester United: Premier League Clash Faces Weather Uncertainty Amidst Historical Rivalry

Ruben Amorim Arne Slot

Liverpool’s Premier League clash against Manchester United at Anfield is not just another game; it is a meeting of historical rivals under unique circumstances. Scheduled for Sunday, January 5, at 4:30 PM, the match holds significant importance for both teams but could face challenges from an Amber Weather Warning issued by the Met Office for heavy snow across northern England.

Liverpool, sitting comfortably at the top of the Premier League table, has enjoyed an impressive run this season under Arne Slot. With 14 wins, 3 draws, and only 1 loss in 18 matches, they are six points clear of Arsenal, boasting a game in hand. The Reds’ recent 4-2 victory over Newcastle in their first league match of 2024 demonstrates their determination to maintain dominance, a feat they last achieved in consecutive calendar years back in 2013/2014.

In stark contrast, Manchester United is struggling under manager Ruben Amorim, who has seen his side lose their last three games against Bournemouth, Wolves, and Newcastle. Currently sitting 14th in the table, United has only managed 6 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses in 19 matches. Their goal difference of -5 reflects their defensive frailties, and their form heading into Anfield is uninspiring, with just one win in their last five games.

History heavily favors Liverpool in this fixture. They have lost only one of their last 13 Premier League games against Manchester United, with seven wins and five draws. Notably, Manchester United hasn’t won any of their last eight league away games against Liverpool, their longest such run since 1970-1979. Moreover, United has scored just one goal in their last eight Premier League matches at Anfield, failing to find the net entirely in their last five visits.

The rivalry is further underscored by the rare occurrence of this being the first time since 1989 that Liverpool and Manchester United face each other in their first league match of the calendar year. In that year, the Red Devils secured a 3-1 victory at Old Trafford, a result they will hope to replicate amidst their current crisis.

Adding to the drama is the Amber Weather Warning issued by the Met Office, predicting snow and potential travel disruptions from Saturday night through Sunday evening. The warning suggests 3-7 cm of snow for lower areas and up to 40 cm for higher grounds, with risks of power outages and stranded vehicles. With similar conditions leading to the postponement of the Merseyside Derby against Everton in December due to Storm Darragh, concerns loom over whether the Anfield pitch and surrounding roads will remain navigable for the match.

Liverpool City Council’s reported lack of pre-ordered grit adds further complications. If the weather worsens, a potential postponement could disrupt Liverpool’s rhythm as they aim to stay ahead of Arsenal in the title race. Manchester United, on the other hand, may benefit from a delay to regroup amid their poor form.

Win probability metrics heavily favor Liverpool at 75%, with just a 10% chance for United and a 15% likelihood of a draw. These figures reflect the current trajectories of both teams and Liverpool’s fortress-like dominance at Anfield.

As fans and teams brace for the conditions, this fixture remains one of the most anticipated clashes of the season. Whether played as scheduled or postponed due to the elements, the historical weight of this rivalry ensures it will remain unforgettable in Premier League history.

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