Prediction Markets
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Navigating the Evolution of Prediction Markets and Digital Asset Staking
As of May 2026, Crypto.com’s integration of regulated prediction markets with traditional crypto-staking ecosystems represents a significant shift in retail digital asset strategy, balancing high-stakes volatility with institutional compliance.
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The Institutionalization of Prediction Markets: Polymarket’s 2026 Expansion and the New Economics of Information
As Polymarket achieves full US compliance and 50-state availability in May 2026, the platform’s surge in liquidity—driven by the NBA Finals and political volatility—signals a shift from traditional betting to high-fidelity economic forecasting.
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Polymarket Shifts to Fee-Based Model, Projects $400M Annual Revenue
Prediction market Polymarket has transitioned to a fully fee-based system, with daily fees potentially reaching $927,000 and projecting over $400 million in annual revenue.
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Paradigm Building Prediction Market Trading Terminal
Venture capital firm Paradigm is developing a trading terminal for prediction markets, reportedly led by Arjun Balaji and targeting professional traders.
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Wealthsimple Cleared to Launch Canadian Prediction Markets
Wealthsimple has received regulatory approval to offer prediction trading in Canada, marking a significant expansion into binary contract markets focused on economic and climate outcomes.
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Kalshi Bans Insiders Amid Regulatory Scrutiny
Kalshi is implementing new rules to ban athletes, coaches, and political candidates from trading on markets related to their own events, following regulatory pressure and criminal charges.
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MLB Partners with Polymarket, Signs MOU with CFTC
Major League Baseball has named Polymarket its official prediction market exchange and established an information-sharing framework with the CFTC, navigating regulatory complexities.
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Democrats Lead in 2026 Midterm Elections, Prediction Markets Show
Prediction markets indicate the Democratic Party is poised to win control of both the Senate and the House in the upcoming 2026 midterm elections, despite recent polling challenges.
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AI-Driven Prediction Markets Shift Market Capital Allocation
As investors integrate agentic AI into prediction markets, capital is rotating from traditional equities into gold and semiconductor infrastructure, signaling a systemic shift in risk management.
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CFTC Issues First Guidance on Prediction Markets
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has released its inaugural guidance for prediction markets, urging exchanges to engage with regulators before offering event contracts susceptible to manipulation.
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Prime Brokers Eye Prediction Markets Via Kalshi Access
Major prime brokers are preparing to offer clients access to the prediction market platform Kalshi, signaling growing institutional interest in novel financial instruments.
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MrBeast Editor Fired as Kalshi Insider Trading Accusations Mount
A MrBeast video editor was fired after prediction market operator Kalshi accused the employee of insider trading, intensifying scrutiny on these platforms.
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Melbourne City Derby Outcome Drives Prediction Market Surge
The recent A-League Women’s Melbourne Derby between Melbourne City FC and Melbourne Victory FC has spurred over $100,000 in trading on prediction markets, indicating a near-certain outcome.
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Polymarket Under Scrutiny: Insider Trading Allegations Emerge in High-Stakes Political Prediction Markets
Polymarket, a prominent prediction market platform, faces serious insider trading allegations following a user’s suspicious, perfectly timed bets on a potential U.S. military intervention in Venezuela and the ousting of Nicolás Maduro, yielding over $400,000. This incident, contrasted with its…
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Kalshi Faces NCAA Backlash Over Transfer Portal Bets Amid Rising Prediction Market Popularity
Kalshi, a federally regulated prediction market, is under fire from the NCAA for proposing bets on college athlete transfer portal moves, sparking debate about pressure on student-athletes and the future of legal event-based wagering.