2025 Masters Predictions: Longshots to Watch at Augusta

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  • The 2025 Masters tees off Thursday at Augusta National Golf Club.
  • Scottie Scheffler is the +400 favorite to defend his green jacket.
  • Tommy Fleetwood (+3500) is a top longshot after finishing T3 last year.
  • Tyrrell Hatton (+4500) and Corey Conners (+6000) are other notable longshots.
  • SportsLine’s model has simulated the tournament 10,000 times for predictions.

2025 Masters Predictions: Longshots to Watch at Augusta

The 2025 Masters, the first major tournament of the PGA Tour season, is set to begin Thursday at the iconic Augusta National Golf Club. Golf enthusiasts around the globe are gearing up to witness the world’s top players compete for the coveted green jacket. While favorites like Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, and Jon Rahm dominate the headlines, the tournament’s unpredictable nature often makes room for longshots to shine. Here’s a closer look at some of the most intriguing underdogs for the 2025 Masters.

Favorites and Betting Odds

Scottie Scheffler, the reigning champion, enters the tournament as the +400 favorite to win back-to-back green jackets. If successful, Scheffler would become the first player since Tiger Woods (2001-2002) to achieve consecutive Masters victories. Other top contenders include Rory McIlroy (+650), who seeks to complete his career Grand Slam, and Jon Rahm (+1400), a former Masters champion looking to reclaim his dominance.

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Other notable names in the field include Collin Morikawa (+1600), Ludvig Aberg (+1800), and Bryson DeChambeau (+2000). However, for those looking to maximize their returns, betting on longshots could provide significant value.

Top Longshots to Watch

Tommy Fleetwood (+3500)

Tommy Fleetwood, a 34-year-old English golfer, is among the most promising longshots for the 2025 Masters. Fleetwood is entering his ninth Masters appearance and is coming off a career-best T3 finish at Augusta last year. He has made the cut in seven of his eight previous Masters appearances, with four finishes inside the top 20.

Despite a disappointing T62 finish at the Valero Texas Open last weekend, Fleetwood’s overall form this season has been solid, with five top-16 finishes in his first six tournaments. Known for his consistency in major events, Fleetwood has recorded seven top-five finishes in majors over the past eight years. According to SportsLine’s proprietary model, Fleetwood offers excellent value at +3500 odds.

Tyrrell Hatton (+4500)

Another Englishman, Tyrrell Hatton, is priced at +4500 and is coming off his best Masters performance, finishing T9 in 2024. Hatton has made the cut in 11 of his last 12 majors and was ranked seventh on the PGA Tour in total strokes gained during the 2022-23 season. With three victories over the past year, Hatton has proven his ability to contend in high-pressure situations.

Given his consistent performances in recent majors and his ability to stay competitive through Sunday, Hatton is a strong candidate for those looking to back a longshot.

Corey Conners (+6000)

Canadian golfer Corey Conners enters the 2025 Masters in excellent form, having achieved three consecutive top-10 finishes before the Valero Texas Open. Currently ranked sixth in the FedEx Cup standings, Conners has been a consistent performer at Augusta, with three top-10 finishes in his last five Masters appearances, including a T6 in 2022.

Conners’ odds of +6000 make him one of the longest-priced players with a realistic shot at donning the green jacket. His recent performances and familiarity with Augusta’s challenges make him a compelling pick for bettors seeking high-value options.

Other Notable Longshots

  • Shane Lowry (+4500): The 2019 Open Championship winner has shown flashes of brilliance at Augusta and could surprise this year.
  • Patrick Cantlay (+3500): An eight-time PGA Tour winner, Cantlay is still seeking his first major victory but has the skill set to contend.
  • Patrick Reed (+9000): The 2018 Masters champion is a longshot but has proven he can handle the pressure at Augusta.
  • Sergio Garcia (+8000): The 2017 Masters winner remains a sentimental pick for fans and bettors alike.

SportsLine’s Model and Predictions

SportsLine’s proprietary model, developed by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been highly accurate in predicting major golf tournaments. The model has successfully identified the winner in 13 majors since 2020, including the last three Masters tournaments. For the 2025 Masters, the model has simulated the tournament 10,000 times, providing insights into potential outcomes.

According to the model, Fleetwood, Hatton, and Conners are among the top longshots to consider. The model also suggests fading Scottie Scheffler, despite his status as the favorite, citing the difficulty of defending a Masters title. Additionally, the model highlights Collin Morikawa (+1600) as a strong contender due to his consistent ball-striking and recent top-10 finishes at Augusta.

Sources: SportsLine, PGA Tour

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