Quick Read
- Felix Auger-Aliassime faces Hamad Medjedovic in the ATP Rotterdam Open Round of 16 today.
- Advanced models predict Auger-Aliassime has a 77% chance of winning the match.
- The match is scheduled for Thursday, February 12, 2026, at 1:30 PM ET.
- Auger-Aliassime also has a 71% chance of winning the first set, according to simulations.
- Betting odds position Auger-Aliassime as a strong favorite (-375 moneyline).
ROTTERDAM (Azat TV) – Canadian tennis star Felix Auger-Aliassime is strongly projected to advance to the quarterfinals of the ATP Rotterdam Open 2026, as he prepares to face Serbian opponent Hamad Medjedovic in the Round of 16 today. Advanced simulation models indicate Auger-Aliassime as the clear favorite, with a significant 77% probability of winning the crucial match.
The highly anticipated men’s singles match is scheduled for Thursday, February 12, 2026, at approximately 1:30 PM ET. This contest marks a key moment for Auger-Aliassime as he seeks to build momentum in the prestigious indoor hard-court tournament in the Netherlands.
Auger-Aliassime’s Strong Predictive Edge
Data-driven analyses from sports analytics platforms, including Dimers, have extensively simulated the encounter between Auger-Aliassime and Medjedovic. After 10,000 simulations, the consensus points to a dominant performance from the Canadian. Beyond the overall 77% win probability, Auger-Aliassime is also given a 71% chance of securing the first set, underscoring his expected strong start in the match.
These projections are further reflected in the betting markets, where Auger-Aliassime is listed with moneyline odds of -375, compared to Medjedovic’s +333, reinforcing the perception of him as the strong favorite. The game spread also favors Auger-Aliassime, with a 53% chance of covering the -3.5 games spread.
Medjedovic’s Challenge and Potential Upsets
Despite Auger-Aliassime’s favored status, Hamad Medjedovic, while an underdog, is not to be entirely overlooked. Interestingly, some analytical models have identified specific scenarios where Medjedovic could pose a challenge. For instance, the top bet identified by Dimers for this match is Medjedovic to win the first set, despite Auger-Aliassime’s overall projected dominance. Medjedovic’s first set moneyline odds stand at +220, offering a potentially high-value bet for those confident in an early upset.
Such predictions highlight the inherent unpredictability of tennis, even when one player is statistically favored. Medjedovic will undoubtedly aim to leverage any early opportunities to disrupt Auger-Aliassime’s rhythm and challenge the widely held expectations.
The Road Ahead at ATP Rotterdam
The ATP Rotterdam Open is a significant event on the professional tennis calendar, attracting top talent from around the globe. For the winner of this Round of 16 clash, a spot in the quarterfinals awaits, bringing them closer to the tournament title. The pressure will be on Auger-Aliassime to live up to the high expectations set by the predictive models, while Medjedovic will be looking to make a statement against a higher-ranked opponent.
The outcome of this match will not only shape the trajectory of both players’ tournaments but also serve as a testament to the increasing role of advanced analytics in modern sports, providing fans and analysts with deeper insights into potential match dynamics.
The increasing integration of sophisticated data analytics and machine learning models in sports predictions, as seen in the extensive simulations for the Auger-Aliassime vs. Medjedovic match, reflects a growing trend towards quantitative insights influencing public and professional understanding of athletic performance.