Quick Read
- FDA has removed its black box warning from menopause hormone therapy after 20 years.
- New guidance is based on recent studies showing benefits and safer use for most women within 10 years of menopause.
- Risks remain for certain groups, such as those with a history of blood clots or breast cancer.
- The decision was made after an expert panel and a renewed petition, bypassing lengthy bureaucratic processes.
FDA Reverses Decades of Guidance on Menopause Hormone Therapy
For more than twenty years, a single warning shaped the lives of millions of women approaching or enduring menopause. The Food and Drug Administration’s (FDA) black box label on hormone therapies—meant to treat symptoms like night sweats, brain fog, weight gain, and recurrent urinary tract infections—cast a shadow over the prospect of relief. Now, in a sweeping policy reversal, the FDA has lifted that warning, ushering in a dramatic shift in how menopause is treated in the United States.
Why Did the FDA Change Course?
The black box warning, the agency’s strongest caution, was attached to estrogen-based treatments in 2003, following the influential Women’s Health Initiative (WHI) study. That research suggested higher risks of cardiovascular disease, breast and uterine cancers, stroke, and dementia among hormone therapy users. The fallout was immediate: prescriptions plummeted, pills were flushed down toilets, and more than 50 million women missed out on possible health benefits, according to FDA Commissioner Dr. Marty Makary.
Dr. Makary, speaking at a July 2025 panel, explained that subsequent studies painted a more nuanced picture. “When the study results were finally released, after the media announcement, there was no statistically significant increased risk of breast cancer. In fact, there was a lower rate of breast cancer in the estrogen-only group,” he said. The key, experts now emphasize, is timing. Hormone therapy started within ten years of menopause can reduce heart disease risk by as much as 30-50%, with additional benefits for bone health and cognitive function (NPR).
What Does This Mean for Women?
The reversal is more than just a regulatory update—it’s a shift in clinical practice and public perception. JoAnn Pinkerton, a menopause specialist, has witnessed firsthand how symptoms can disrupt every aspect of life. She recalls patients who were so affected by menopause that their relationships, work, and sleep suffered. “Within four to eight weeks of starting contemporary hormone therapies, they are dramatically improved,” she says. But fear, driven by the black box label, often led women to avoid or abandon treatment.
Pinkerton shared the story of a patient—once an avid horseback rider—whose menopause symptoms forced her to stop riding due to severe urinary tract infections. After starting vaginal estrogen, her symptoms resolved, and she returned to the saddle. “She hasn’t had any urinary tract infections since she became regular and faithful with her vaginal estrogen,” Pinkerton notes.
The Risks: Still Real, But Better Understood
It’s important to recognize that hormone therapy isn’t risk-free. The FDA’s new guidance moves the conversation from blanket warnings to nuanced information, now included in package inserts. The risks increase when therapy begins more than ten years after menopause starts. Estrogen’s positive effect on blood vessels—keeping them soft and dilated—is best harnessed before a prolonged gap in natural hormone production. Starting therapy late, when vessels have begun to harden, may increase the risk of blood clots and cardiovascular events.
There are also clear contraindications: women with a history of blood clots, active or past breast cancer, and certain other conditions may not be suitable candidates. For women with a uterus, combining estrogen with progesterone is crucial to minimize the risk of endometrial hyperplasia and uterine cancer (New England Journal of Medicine).
Behind the Scenes: How the Decision Was Made
The FDA’s move wasn’t without controversy. Traditionally, such changes require lengthy, bureaucratic processes and panels of experts. This time, Dr. Makary says, the agency responded to a petition filed in 2016 and refiled in 2025, convening a diverse panel of medical professionals who advocated passionately for change. “We didn’t go through the long, expensive process of bringing in conflicted experts,” Makary explained. The aim: to break the cycle of fear and offer women better information and access.
This swift action reflects a broader trend at the FDA, which has recently tackled long-standing issues—from food dyes to drug warnings—with decisive leadership.
The Bigger Picture: A New Era in Women’s Health
The FDA’s reversal comes amid growing recognition of menopause’s impact—not just as a biological milestone, but as a public health issue. Eighty percent of women experience symptoms, often lasting eight years or more, and for many, those symptoms are severe and debilitating. The stigma and silence around menopause are fading, replaced by open conversations about the realities and possibilities of treatment.
Social media has played a role in this transformation, with women sharing their experiences and advocating for options that improve quality of life. As Dr. Makary observes, “There is a bit of an awakening.” The hope is that the new guidance will empower both providers and patients to discuss risks and benefits, leading to more individualized care.
Looking Forward: Will Access Lead to Overuse?
Some worry that removing the black box warning could swing the pendulum too far, encouraging overuse of hormone therapy. Dr. Makary acknowledges this concern but points to the decades of under-treatment as a greater harm. He notes that while early formulations, such as the progesterone type used in the original WHI study, may have had specific risks, modern therapies are safer and more effective. No clinical trial has found increased breast cancer mortality from hormone therapy, and the cardiovascular benefits are substantial.
Ultimately, the FDA’s decision signals a more balanced approach. Risks are not ignored, but they are weighed against the profound benefits—especially when therapy is tailored to the individual and started at the optimal time.
Conclusion: The Road Ahead
The FDA’s removal of its black box warning on menopause hormone therapy marks a turning point in women’s health policy. It reflects the evolution of science and the growing understanding of menopause’s impact on daily life. For millions of women, this is more than a regulatory change—it’s the promise of relief, resilience, and renewed agency over their health.
Assessment: By shifting from blanket warnings to nuanced, evidence-based guidance, the FDA has set the stage for more informed, personalized care. This decision highlights the importance of continuously reassessing medical dogma as new data emerges—and reminds us that health policy must evolve alongside scientific progress and lived experience.

